Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.016562 0.018456 0.020362 0.022418 0.024568 0.026745 0.029110
2025-04-06 0.012731 0.015641 0.018694 0.022109 0.025794 0.029630 0.033903
2025-04-13 0.009942 0.013273 0.016892 0.021049 0.025639 0.030505 0.036012
2025-04-20 0.008673 0.012404 0.016568 0.021451 0.026930 0.032813 0.039541
2025-04-27 0.007296 0.011252 0.015796 0.021235 0.027433 0.034168 0.041944
2025-05-04 0.006021 0.010090 0.014909 0.020797 0.027609 0.035093 0.043810
2025-05-11 0.005238 0.009452 0.014578 0.020947 0.028402 0.036664 0.046350
2025-05-18 0.004430 0.008703 0.014053 0.020819 0.028835 0.037795 0.048368
2025-05-25 0.003602 0.007840 0.013329 0.020405 0.028896 0.038471 0.049844
2025-06-01 0.002984 0.007199 0.012839 0.020238 0.029216 0.039417 0.051600
2025-06-08 0.002383 0.006509 0.012239 0.019900 0.029305 0.040074 0.053008
2025-06-15 0.001981 0.006074 0.011944 0.019918 0.029800 0.041184 0.054917
2025-06-22 0.001470 0.005419 0.011365 0.019622 0.029984 0.042019 0.056621
2025-06-29 0.001016 0.004769 0.010761 0.019283 0.030124 0.042819 0.058312
2025-07-06 0.000532 0.003870 0.009710 0.018300 0.029422 0.042589 0.058775
2025-07-13 0.000390 0.003676 0.009691 0.018675 0.030397 0.044338 0.061528
2025-07-20 0.000203 0.003243 0.009264 0.018473 0.030631 0.045188 0.063221
2025-07-27 0.000063 0.002761 0.008708 0.018063 0.030581 0.045682 0.064481
2025-08-03 0.000015 0.002535 0.008555 0.018203 0.031220 0.046999 0.066702
2025-08-10 NaN 0.002230 0.008233 0.018084 0.031514 0.047888 0.068408
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001858 0.007742 0.017696 0.031445 0.048321 0.069566
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001596 0.007421 0.017540 0.031664 0.049098 0.071122
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001311 0.007008 0.017225 0.031659 0.049590 0.072330